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Compiled by | Odaily (@OdailyChina); Translator | Asher (@Asher_ 0210) After systematically sorting and analyzing over 112,000 Polymarket wallets and six months of on-chain data, a rather intuitive yet surprising result emerged. Approximately 87.3% of users ultimately lost money trading on the platform. This analysis covered multiple key dimensions, including every on-chain transaction record, trading volume, win rate, profit/loss, market types participated in, entry timing, and position size. The entire data processing took three weeks, and the final conclusion contradicted many people’s intuition. Many believe that top players in prediction markets often possess some obvious advantage, such as having insider information or using obscure, complex computational models. However, the data shows this is not the case. The top 1% of players consistently and persistently do a few things right and…# Analysis# bitcoin# defi# guide# Market# Startups# Token# ToolPre
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