Former Coinbase CPO’s 10,000-Word Essay: In This Market, the Greatest Advantage Is “Doing Nothing” | Bee Network
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Compiled by｜Odaily（@OdailyChina）；Translator｜Azuma（@azuma_eth） The core message of this article is singular — how to prepare for what could be the largest airdrop in the prediction market sector. The Data Issue That Must Be Stated Before building any model, we need real, reliable data. Polymarket’s trading volume data has been widely misreported. In December 2025, Paradigm published a key research finding: most Polymarket data dashboards calculate volume by summing all “OrderFilled” events. However, this event is triggered on both the maker and taker sides of the same trade, leading to double-counting. The real volume is roughly half of what the dashboards show. Dashboard Volume vs. Single-Sided Volume — the latter is the number that truly matters for airdrop modeling. This is crucial for airdrop modeling. If Polymarket uses volume as a metric,…# Analysis# bitcoin# crypto# defi# ethereum# Exchange# Market# NFTs# TokenPre
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- Original Compilation: Jiahuan, ChainCatcher I still believe in cryptocurrency and am optimistic about the direction of this industry. As I write these words, I am not someone who has lost everythin...