The Fed’s Independence Crisis: White House Interest Rate Game Behind Powell’s Criminal Investigation | Bee Network
Login熱門新聞AI 代理商Meme LaunchpadDeSci熱門鏈瀏覽器新人必讀衝百倍幣蜜蜂遊戲必備網站必備APP必關大神DePIN新人必備教我避坑基本工具深度網站交易所NFT 工具Web3宇宙遊戲DApp蜂巢增長平台生態Coins儲值登入Web3大學遊戲DApp蜂巢生態家分析分析懷亞特加密貨幣The Fed’s Independence Crisis: White House Interest Rate Game Behind Powell’s Criminal InvestigationRelated: What should the new financial infrastructure look like in the AI era?
Original translation by: AididiaoJP, Foresight News In November 2024, prediction markets predicted the election results before anyone else. When polls showed a close race and experts were hesitant, the market gave Trump a 60% chance of winning. When the results were announced, the prediction markets outperformed the entire prediction establishment—polls, models, expert opinions, everything. This proves that markets can aggregate fragmented information into accurate beliefs, and risk-sharing mechanisms are at work. Since the 1940s, economists have dreamed that speculative markets could outperform expert predictions, and now that dream has been validated on the grandest stage. But let’s examine the underlying economic principles. The bettors at Polymarket and Kalshi provided billions of dollars in liquidity. What did they get in return? They generated a signal that the whole world could see…#分析# 加密#市場上一篇
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